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# The Poilievre Reset | What's next?
- URL: https://www.craftpolitics.fm/episodes/the-poilievre-reset-whats-next/
- Published: 2025-09-11T18:00:00.000Z
- Updated: 2026-09-07T21:36:43.000Z
- Author: Joseph Lavoie
- Tags: Ginny Roth, #episode, #interview, #ai-5

When we last had Ginny Roth on the show, *everyone* assumed Pierre Poilievre would be Canada’s next Prime Minister.

Seven months later?

Mark Carney is in.

Poilievre lost his seat.

And while he’s back in Parliament—after a commanding by-election win in Alberta—his path forward is anything but clear.

This week, we ask Ginny:

> Can Poilievre turn a personal comeback into a broader coalition?

---

### **What we cover in this episode:**

- **Rebuilding the narrative:** What should Poilievre say (and not say) in Question Period to shift the political terrain?
- **Cost of living, crime, and immigration:** Ginny argues that these remain the three most potent issues for Conservatives—and where Carney is most vulnerable.
- **Tone, authenticity and voter math:** Is it a “likeability” problem—or a coalition problem? Ginny breaks down what the real issue is.
- **The TFW announcement:** Why Poilievre’s stance on temporary foreign workers matters *more* than it looks.
- **Keeping the base AND growing the tent:** Can the Conservatives do what no other right-of-centre party has managed in the West—hold both the traditional right and new right together?

###   **Key insights from Ginny Roth:**

> “No one cares if you say ‘I told you so.’”  
>  
> “Poilievre’s real risk isn’t likability—it’s losing the disaffected voters he brought into the tent last time.”  
>  
> “The federal NDP and Western NDP are essentially two different parties.”

### **What’s next?**

Poilievre faces a **leadership review vote in Calgary this January**. We ask:

- What will success look like?
- Is there a credible alternative if he stumbles?
- And what issues should the Conservatives own to change the math before 2026?

00:00 Welcome and the Poilievre comeback story  
02:04 How Poilievre should use question period to end Carney's free ride  
04:48 The ragtag coalition problem — keeping new voters motivated  
06:37 The authenticity trap — fighter persona versus likability concerns  
08:46 The emotional dimension — when the fighter shows vulnerability  
10:08 Cost of living comeback — waiting for the pendulum to swing  
11:39 Why Poilievre was right to avoid stepping into Carney's message box  
13:42 The NDP threat — urban social justice voters versus blue-collar workers  
16:07 The missing playbook — why federal NDP won't follow Horgan or Kinew  
18:01 The insurgent party risk — can Poilievre hold the coalition together?  
18:48 The global synthesis challenge — traditional conservatives meet the new right  
20:34 Temporary foreign workers and barstool conservatives  
25:01 Stop saying I told you so — finding new contrast with Carney  
26:22 The natural heir question — who comes after Poilievre?  
28:55 Wrap and the boring stability of Canadian conservative politics